Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2111.902356 2294.965544 2480.802008 2683.284059 2897.392539 3116.768763 3358.238261
2025-02-23 1826.472929 2099.518288 2387.542918 2712.853785 3068.896850 3445.596694 3873.130273
2025-03-02 1624.891759 1948.870875 2300.543934 2708.266563 3165.558351 3660.290314 4233.614404
2025-03-09 1500.154528 1864.380745 2269.215942 2748.644816 3296.954467 3900.624786 4611.560147
2025-03-16 1361.035519 1749.502645 2190.994681 2724.190323 3344.912651 4039.119959 4868.445010
2025-03-23 1290.912344 1707.799156 2190.587143 2783.262400 3483.370841 4276.412711 5234.754963
2025-03-30 1206.965047 1642.682923 2156.647783 2797.624442 3565.401082 4445.625681 5520.813143
2025-04-06 1126.886144 1576.506092 2116.348522 2799.765981 3629.158427 4590.737014 5777.003444
2025-04-13 1014.541930 1463.153353 2012.337846 2718.940207 3588.543930 4608.770307 5880.557728
2025-04-20 990.415159 1460.166896 2043.310078 2802.295526 3745.600130 4861.486241 6262.583802
2025-04-27 950.620311 1434.129142 2043.108072 2845.159725 3852.036121 5053.140678 6572.215849
2025-05-04 894.675240 1383.534932 2008.848225 2842.778610 3900.727701 5173.791848 6795.988653
2025-05-11 833.268511 1323.375910 1960.737795 2822.055394 3926.841393 5268.356995 6991.068441
2025-05-18 796.942834 1295.696688 1953.735239 2853.215703 4017.877571 5443.027109 7285.155652
2025-05-25 749.685615 1250.114994 1920.669400 2848.448108 4061.732944 5558.380923 7506.141776
2025-06-01 723.139292 1232.369169 1923.795889 2890.316478 4164.829216 5747.587057 7819.069106
2025-06-08 674.628529 1180.307443 1877.886657 2864.960401 4179.405770 5824.627867 7992.064574
2025-06-15 659.127894 1175.781021 1896.837533 2926.206446 4306.709766 6044.376636 8344.370195
2025-06-22 629.284243 1148.245575 1882.359334 2941.095053 4372.508405 6185.830474 8598.742404
2025-06-29 597.293279 1115.784455 1859.505505 2943.315043 4420.695811 6304.377733 8824.318423
2025-07-06 541.160256 1043.053665 1776.316526 2859.516427 4351.847693 6270.485749 8854.788321
2025-07-13 538.576345 1054.410077 1814.934820 2945.937231 4512.228402 6534.097745 9266.451817
2025-07-20 524.097713 1045.942942 1823.946283 2990.367719 4615.865210 6724.380292 9585.136746